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Going Beyond Upsells With Cross-Sells, Down-Sells and Order-Bumps

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Dirk Lester

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Basically every e-commerce merchant knows this script. A consumer lands on one of your product pages, adds something to their cart, heads to your checkout. You throw a popup upsell at them. "Hey! Wanna upgrade that basic wearable shark blanket to a premium wearable shark blanket?" And nine times out of ten, they’ll click "No thanks" then proceed to payment. End scene. Meanwhile, you've left money on the table and missed at least three other psychological opportunities to increase order value, while actually improving customer satisfaction. Because here's something most Shopify retailers don't realize about post-purchase revenue optimization.

The upsells get all the attention but are often the least effective tool in your conversions arsenal.

So, I'd like to reacquaint you with cross-sells, down-sells, and order-bumps and introduce you to the consumer psychology underlying the efficacy of cross-sells, down-sells, and order-bumps. Not just the sales mechanics (you probably already know) but the behavioral neuroscience that explains why a well-timed cross-sell can outperform an upsell by 300%, why down-sells create customer loyalty more effectively than discounts, and why order-bumps exploit a common cognitive bias so common, Amazon built an entire Frequently Bought Together empire around it.

The distinction matters more than I think some online retailers realize. Upselling asks customers to spend more money on something bigger than what they wanted. Cross-selling, down-selling, and order-bumps on the other hand, push with the momentum of consumer psychology rather than fighting against it, building what the University of Chicago legal scholar Cass Sunstein and behavioral economist Richard Thaler called a choice architecture that reads the offer as helpful rather than as predatory.

Understanding the how and why of why these mechanisms work offers Shopify merchants new ways to grow their average order values and improve customer satisfaction with strategies that don't depend on interrupting the purchase journey with increasingly desperate upgrade prompts.

The Psychology of "And Also" vs "Instead Of"

The conventional wisdom of retail assumes that consumers operate based on fixed budgets and predetermined needs. We either convince them to spend more money (upsell) or they stick with their original plan. But that’s just the most popular theory. In the real world shopping behavior can be a bit different, if not exactly more complicated, and driven by cognitive biases that most merchants accidentally ignore by consistently chasing the AOV bump that upselling offers them.

It’s simple but the fundamental difference between the two lies in how we all process questions of addition versus substitution. When a retailer offers a cross-sell (an addition), they're working with our natural tendency toward acquisition and completion. But when they offer upsells (substitutions), they're fighting against loss aversion and buyer's remorse. This isn't speculation.

It's neuroscience, measurable and should impact the way checkout experiences are structured.

Consumer Behavior and the Completion Principle

Research published in the Journal of Consumer Psychology in 2018 revealed that consumers have an inherent drive toward completion and wholeness. They feel psychological discomfort when they perceive their purchases as incomplete, and genuine satisfaction when they achieve what researchers call consumption constellation completion. This completion principle explains why “Frequently Bought Together” prompts work so effectively on shoppers. When someone buys a smartphone, suggesting a case isn't just cross-selling. It's helping the customer achieve “psychological completion” by addressing their subconscious anxiety about product vulnerability.

Essentially the same mechanism has helped drive the success of Blue Apron meal kits, Roche Bobois Bubble Sofa sets, and Fenty Skin Start'r Bundles. Your customers aren’t just buying products. They’re buying solutions and a “solution” just doesn't feel piecemeal, it feels complete.

The Mental Accounting of Purchase Justification

The same Richard Thaler (you may remember from an earlier post), demonstrated that most consumers use mental accounting to categorize and justify their purchases. When customers have already opened a mental account for a specific purchase category, adding related items to that same mental account feels more justifiable than creating an entirely new spending category.

That bias toward “mental accounting” probably explains why cross-selling can succeed when upselling has failed. I mean. If I’ve already mentally budgeted $49.99 for that “wearable shark blanket,” I started this off with, adding a $39 orca bean bag chair to my $80 shark purchase feels “reasonable,” but upgrading to a $99 shark week blankie would feel like a budget violation.

The psychological difference between "completing a jaws comfort kit" and "spending more than they planned" determines whether consumers perceive a suggestion as helpful, or manipulative.

How the Endowment Effect Applies to Sales

Of course, no one common consumer quirk, however common, would be common enough to be worth a dedicated sales strategy. So there are a few more of these that I’d like to walk through. Please buckle up. Now. This one seems obvious but only seems. People value products more once they feel ownership, and the interesting thing is that that applies even before they’ve completed a purchase. This endowment effect results in greater openness to suggestions made after they added whatever they’re buying to their cart. In other words, I’d be more likely to buy that orca bean bag, if the cross-sell offer were offered as I completed my purchase of the shark.

You see, once consumers have mentally claimed a product by adding it to cart, they become more receptive to related suggestions that enhance and/or protect their pending purchase. In other words. The same shopper who’d reject an upsell might become enthusiastic about an accessory that increased the value of what they're already buying. This psychological shift from "considering a purchase" to "protecting a purchase" can transform the entire checkout dynamic.

Cross-Sells, Neuroscience and Why “Related” Products Feel Different

Before going further, I should probably pause and point out that upselling is a great strategy that you should be using, and I’m talking about how effective cross-sells, down-sells and order bumps are because I assume you know that on account of our awesome upsell app. Today is just about the potent but under-utilized sales strategies you can deploy using it. Now. When consumers encounter cross-sell prompts, their brains activate different neural pathways than those triggered by upsells. Understanding this neuroscientific distinction will help explain why cross-sells consistently outperform upsells in both conversion rates and in customer satisfaction

Playing Into Pattern Recognition: Our brains, that is consumer brains, are fairly hard wired to send us satisfaction signals when presented with logical associations. So cross-sells aligned with established purchase patterns play into that. When I buy say a bubble gun the store cross-selling bubble liquid activates pattern recognition networks that makes it feel obvious and helpful. I think "of course I need bubble liquid" instead of these evil bubble pushers are "trying to sell me more stuff." And the satisfaction creates extends beyond that one transaction to future purchase decisions and brand perception.

Combating Choice Overload: That’s right. Well-designed cross-sells actually reduce the cognitive load most of us experience whenever we shop for things because they pre-solve the problem. Instead of us having to recall then research complementary or related or products, cross-selling consolidates that, turning it into a single, simple choice.

Norming the sale offer with Social Proof: Cross-selling can be even more effective when retailers incorporate social proof. You see, consumer behavior research has revealed that most people use the purchasing patterns of others as “normative” guides, especially when they’re making a purchase in an unfamiliar category. So all of those "customers who bought this also bought" suggestions don't just cross-sell products. They help communicate social norms about appropriate consumption patterns, reducing the customers uncertainty about whether their additional purchase will be necessary or excessive.

Down-Sells and the Psychology of Graceful Alternatives

Yes. It’s certainly fair to say that cross-selling and upselling tend to get all the attention in posts like this, but I think the down-sell probably represents the more sophisticated sales optimization strategy … at least psychologically. I mean. Rather than pushing your customers toward higher spending, down-sells work with rather than against their natural resistance to buying things they don’t “need.” So they can boost conversions without threatening your relationship to consumers.

Loss Aversion and Alternative Anchoring: It’s counterintuitive but we tend to feel the pain of losing something more intensely than we feel the pleasure of gaining. Down-sells work because they can exploit that tendency and reframe abandoning a purchase as a loss rather than as being budget conscious. So when one of your customers balks at buying a $75 bubble gun bundle, offering them a $50 alternative shifts the psychological frame from “Is this toy really worth $75?” to “Would I rather have the $50 bubbles or no bubbles at all?” Down-selling creates a new anchor point that makes some purchase feel better to them than no purchase.

The Decoy Effect in Practice: Consumer choice research reveals how so-called “decoy effects” influence consumer decision-making when customers evaluate multiple options. Down-sells can function as strategic decoys that make the original product seem more reasonable by comparison. When customers see a premium option, a mid-tier option, and a basic option, they often choose the middle option even if they originally intended to buy the premium version. So. The down-sell doesn't cannibalize the original sale. It provides psychological permission to make a purchase at a more comfortable price point

Reciprocity and Future Purchase Behavior: That’s right. You guessed it. There are reciprocity psychology studies that have shown us that customers who feel that a merchant has accommodated their budget constraints develop stronger loyalty than those who simply get discounts. Down-sells signal that you understand and respect customer budget limitations, creating positive emotional associations that drive repeat purchases and word-of-mouth recommendations. Customers who buy a down-sell today often return to purchase the premium version later, having developed trust in the brand.

Exploiting Commitment Escalation Bias With Order-Bumps

If down-selling represents the most “sophisticated” sales conversion psychology, order-bumps arguably represent the most subtle and powerful application of that psychology to e-commerce. You see. By presenting small additional purchases at the moment of checkout commitment, the order-bump (say it with me) exploits several common consumer cognitive biases simultaneously

The Commitment Escalation Phenomenon: Once consumers commit to a course of action, they become more willing to make additional commitments that align with their initial decision. This commitment escalation bias makes checkout the optimal moment for low-friction additional offers. When customers have mentally committed to spending $50 on a bubble gun, adding a $15 in bubbles order-bump feels like a minor modification rather than a separate purchase decision. So. The psychological commitment to buying from this online shop equals momentum that can carry over into related micro-decisions.

Sunk Cost Thinking in Digital Transactions: Similarly, most consumers become more willing to add small expenses once they've invested time and effort in a larger purchase process. The energy spent researching, comparing, and deciding on the main purchase creates psychological investment that makes order-bumps feel like efficient additions rather than new spending decisions. That they leverage sunk cost thinking explains why order-bumps work better when they’re offered in cart than at any earlier stages. So the timing exploits maximum psychological investment with minimum decision resistance.

The Power of "While You're Here" Psychology: Order-bumps also tap into what psychologists call "batching bias." Which is their way of saying that generally speaking people prefer to consolidate related decisions and transactions rather than spreading them across multiple occasions. A well-designed order-bump feels smart and efficient rather than impulse spending. "Add expedited shipping for $5?" feels like optimizing an existing decision. "Add blue bubbles to your red bubble order for $10?" just feels logical.

When and How to Deploy Each Sales Strategy

Everything theoretical thing we’ve just gone through is well and good and all, but understanding the psychological factors that underlie the efficacy of each sales technique is an academic exercise unless you leave here ready to properly implement them. Each approach works best under specific conditions and in the context of a certain set of consumer mindsets. So. Deploying each requires careful consideration of timing, product fit and customer lifecycle stage.

Optimizing Cross-Sells: You’ll find that cross-selling works best when products clearly have complementary relationships and with consumers who have demonstrated interest in the product category. New customers often appreciate cross-sell suggestions that help them avoid future problems or maximize product value. The key to nailing them is nailing relevance and timing. That’s why Bold Upsell lets store owners target cross-sells based on shopping behavior and purchase history relationships, rather than simply generically.

Strategies for Down-Sells: The down-sell on the other hand tends to work best on shoppers sending purchase hesitation signals (e.g. extended time on product pages, multiple returns to those pages, repeated cart additions then removals.) The challenge is presenting down-sells without undermining the perceived value of the original product. In other words, a down-sell has to feel like a legitimate alternative rather than evidence that the pricing the consumer balked at was inflated. Remember. The customers you catch with down-sells becomes just that, a customer, and few things are more valuable to you.

Best Practices for Order-Bumps: Finally. Getting an order-bump right requires careful product selection and careful presentation to trigger the psychology that makes them work well. The most effective order-bumps solve immediate problems, enhance the main purchase, or provide obvious convenience benefits. Things like. Shipping upgrades, extended warranties, and complementary consumables make for great order-bumps because they tend to align with the natural concerns of consumers relatively effortlessly.

Revenue Optimization and Building Customer Relationships

When you genuinely help consumers find what they need (even when it’s stuff they didn't know they needed), they recognize having been helped and start to form a relationship with your brand. So the benefits of doing a better job of efficiently and effectively deploying cross-sells, down-sells. and order-bumps extend beyond the immediate benefits to your store’s bottom line.

It sounds almost too simple, but customers really do appreciate it when you help them solve problems or make their lives more convenient. What I mean is. You shouldn’t forget that that cross-sell that reminded someone about an accessory they purchased was valuable to BOTH OF YOU. And engendering that sense of value builds customer trust and loyalty that can extend beyond any individual transaction. Well-designed cross-sells, down-sells and order-bumps boost customer satisfaction (and AOV) by reducing post-purchase regret and anxiety. The shoppers who got everything they needed in a single go leave feeling smarter and more efficient than the consumers who had to visit multiple times to arrive at the same outcome. And that sense of satisfaction will be a positive association with your brand, that will influence their future behavior.

Too many merchants focus almost exclusively on competitive pricing and product selection. You can be the store that just gets people. The one that suggests the perfect companion product at just the right moment. The one that makes shopping feel less like a chore and more like having a knowledgeable friend help you out. Sales optimization is competitive differentiation that's difficult to replicate if you get a head start because the consumer perceptions we’ve discussed build over time.

Customers stay with merchants who understand their needs rather than just offer competitive pricing.Customers prefer feeling smart about their purchasing decisions over simply paying less for products. Cross-sells, down-sells, and order-bumps harness this preference to create win-win scenarios where customers get better value while merchants generate higher revenue.

The e-Commerce retailers who master the psychology of value creation rather than price reduction will build the most enduring competitive advantages. Stop interrupting customer purchase journeys with desperate upsell popups. Start creating experiences that make customers feel intelligent, satisfied, and eager to return. The psychology is real. The technology exists. Which means the only question is whether you'll implement it before your competitors do.

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About the author
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Dirk Lester

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